Acknowledgements
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The Global Risks Report 2017 synthesizes the insights, ideas and contributions of many individuals through workshops, group calls and research. The World Economic Forum is grateful to all who took part in the challenge to think about global risks. Without their dedication, guidance and support, it would not have been possible to develop this Report.
The World Economic Forum would like to thank our Strategic Partners Marsh & McLennan Companies and Zurich Insurance Group for their guidance, input and support. We also thank our Academic Advisers, the National University of Singapore, the Oxford Martin School at the University of Oxford and the Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center at the University of Pennsylvania.
The project was led at the World Economic Forum by Margareta Drzeniek Hanouz and The Global Risks Report 2017 team including Aengus Collins (Content Lead), Gaëlle Marti (Project Manager), Ciara Browne (Head of Partnerships), Attilio Di Battista, Katharine Shaw, and Stéphanie Verin.
The Global Risks Report 2017 governance is represented by the Steering Board, the Advisory Board and the Activation Board, all of which have provided invaluable input and guidance.
The Steering Board includes:
- John Drzik, President, Global Risk and Specialties, Marsh, United States
- Richard Samans, Head of the Centre for the Global Agenda, Member of the Managing Board, World Economic Forum, Switzerland
- Cecilia Reyes, Group Chief Risk Officer, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland
The Advisory Board is composed of:
- Rolf Alter, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
- Sharan Burrow, International Trade Union Confederation (ITUC)
- Winnie Byanyima, Oxfam International
- Marie-Valentine Florin, International Risk Governance Council (IRGC)
- Al Gore, Generation Investment Management
- Donald Kaberuka, Harvard University
- Steven Kou, National University of Singapore
- Julian Laird, Oxford Martin School
- Pascal Lamy, Jacques Delors Institute
- Ursula von der Leyen, Federal Minister of Defence of Germany
- Maleeha Lodhi, Ambassador and Permanent Representative of Pakistan to the United Nations
- Gary Marchant, Arizona State University
- Erwann Michel-Kerjan, Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center, University of Pennsylvania
- Nicolas Mueller, Federal Chancellery of Switzerland
- Moisés Naím, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Kirstjen Nielsen, George Washington University Center for Cyber and Homeland Security
- Naomi Oreskes, Harvard University
- Jonathan Ostry, International Monetary Fund
- Nouriel Roubini, New York University
- John Scott, Zurich Insurance Group
- Richard Smith-Bingham, Marsh & McLennan Companies
- Michelle Tuveson, Centre for Risk Studies, University of Cambridge Judge Business School
- Ngaire Woods, University of Oxford
- Sandra Wu Wen-Hsiu, Japan Asia Group Limited
The Activation Board includes:
- Laura Castellano, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland
- Rosanna Cubelli, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland
- Jason Groves, Marsh & McLennan Companies, United Kingdom
- Gregory Renand, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland
- Pavel Osipyants, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland
- Stephen Szaraz, Marsh & McLennan Companies, United States
The Global Risks Report 2017 Strategic Partners
Partner Content Leads
- Richard Smith-Bingham, Director, Global Risk Center, Marsh & McLennan Companies, United Kingdom
- John Scott, Chief Risk Officer, Global Corporate, Zurich Insurance Group, Switzerland
Marsh & McLennan Companies (in addition to those listed above)
- Paul Beswick
- Jo-Anne Bloch
- Tessa Champion
- Edwin Charnaud
- Lucy Dalimonte
- Bruno Dotti
- Tom Garvey
- Jason Israel
- Don Mango
- Tom Quigley
- Maurizio Quintavalle
- Philip Tenenbaum
- Alex Wittenberg
- Nick Zappia
Zurich Insurance Group (in addition to those listed above)
- David Anderson
- Lori Bailey
- Daniel Eherer
- Karl Gray
- Stefan Kroepfl
The Global Risks Report 2017 Academic Advisers (in addition to those listed above)
National University of Singapore
- Chorh Chuan Tan
- Kok Kwang Phoon
Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
- Achim Steiner
Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center, University of Pennsylvania
- Howard Kunreuther
The project team would like to thank the following for their contribution to the Report:
Part 1: Global Risks 2017
- Aengus Collins, World Economic Forum
- Nicholas Davis, World Economic Forum
- Margareta Drzeniek Hanouz, World Economic Forum
- Daniel Gomez Gaviria, World Economic Forum
- Thomas Philbeck, World Economic Forum
- Philip Shetler-Jones, world Economic Forum
- Jahda Swanborough, World Economic Forum
- Dominic Waughray, World Economic Forum
Part 2: Social and Political Challenges
2.1 Western Democracy in Crisis?
- Stefan Hall, World Economic Forum
- Ngaire Woods, Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford
2.2 Fraying Rule of Law and Declining Civic Freedoms: Citizens and Civic Space at Risk
- Silvia Magnoni, World Economic Forum
- Kira Youdina, World Economic Forum
2.3 The Future of Social Protection Systems
- Yvonne Sonsino, Mercer
- Ian Veitch, Zurich Insurance Group
Part 3: Emerging Technologies
3.1 Understanding the Risk Landscape
- Nicholas Davis, World Economic Forum
- Thomas Philbeck, World Economic Forum
3.2 Assessing the Risk of Artificial Intelligence
- Nicholas Davis, World Economic Forum
- Thomas Philbeck, World Economic Forum
3.3 Physical Infrastructure Networks and the Fourth Industrial Revolution
- Jim Hall, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
Boxes
- Box 1.2: Climate Change and the 4IR by Al Gore, Generation Investment Management
- Box 2.1.1: Social Media and the Distortion of Information by Walter Quattrociocchi, Northeastern University
- Box 3.2.1: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Warfare by Jean-Marc Rickli, Geneva Centre for Security Policy
- Box 3.2.2: Aligning the Values of Humans and AI Machines by Stuart Russell, University of California, Berkeley
The Global Risks Team would like to extend their gratitude to the Global Risks Perception Survey 2016 review group
- Chase Harrison, Department of Government, Harvard University
- Olivier Oullier, Word Economic Forum
- Caroline Roberts, University of Lausanne
- Piet Sellke, University of Stuttgart and Insights for Impact
- Richard Smith-Bingham, Marsh & McLennan Companies
The project team is grateful to the respondents to the Global Risks Perception Survey 2016, without whom the production of this Report would not have been feasible. The respondents include the Forum’s multistakeholder communities and members of the Institute of Risk Management Network.
A special thank you also goes to the following for their contributions and support of The Global Risks Report:
At the World Economic Forum
Founder and Executive Chairman
Klaus Schwab
Executive Committee
David Aikman, Marco Albani, Pedro Rodrigues de Almeida, Marisol Argueta, Emma Benameur, Arnaud Bernaert, Matthew Blake, Jennifer Blanke, Roberto Bocca, Giancarlo Bruno, Sebastian Buckup, Denise Burnet, Nicholas Davis, Jean-Loup Denereaz, Sean Doherty, Lisa Dreier, Michael Drexler, Margareta Drzeniek Hanouz, Silvio Dulinsky, Miroslav Dusek, Diana El-Azar, Paolo Gallo, Julien Gattoni, Malte Godbersen, Mike Hanley, Lee Howell, Zara Ingilizian, Jeremy Jurgens, Elsie Kanza, Martina Larkin, Helena Leurent, Cheryl Martin, Fon Mathuros Chantanayingyong, Richard McGlone, Viraj Mehta, John Moavenzadeh, Adrian Monck, Sarita Nayyar, Derek O’Halloran, Olivier Oullier, Mel Rogers, Philipp Rösler, Richard Samans, Hilde Schwab, Olivier Schwab, Paul Smyke, Murat Sönmez, Mark Spelman, Masao Takahashi, Terri Toyota, Jean-Luc Vez, Dominic Waughray, Alex Wong, Justin Wood, Saadia Zahidi, and Alois Zwinggi.
The Global Risks Report 2017 Public Engagement Team
Oliver Cann and Alem Tedeneke
Production Team
David Bustamante; Liam Ó Cathasaigh; Marta Chierego; Kamal Kimaoui, World Economic Forum; and Hope Steele, Freelance Editor; Moritz Stefaner, Freelance Information Visualizer; and Andrew Wright, Freelance Writer.
Online report by Design Resources Ltd
The project team expresses its gratitude to the colleagues from the World Economic Forum who provided feedback throughout the development of The Global Risks Report 2017 (in addition to those listed above):
Nanayaa Appenteng, Silja Baller, Jonathon Cini, Roberto Crotti, Ushang Damachi, Jonathan Eckart, Emmanuel Engeli, Thierry Geiger, David Gleicher, Daniel Gomez Gaviria, Stefan Hall, Akanksha Khatri, Miso Lee, Silvia Magnoni, Stephan Mergenthaler, Pierre Saouter, Vesselina Stefanova Ratcheva, Lisa Ventura, Jean-Luc Vez, Regula Waltenspuel, and Olivier Woeffray.
The project team would like to thank the individuals who contributed to the report by feeding into the discussion around the global risks workstream by providing thought leadership or participating in the Forum’s workshops on Global Risks:
Karl Aberer, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne; Natalia Alonso, Oxfam International; Rolf Alter, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Jérôme Amory, RATP; Alison Bewick, Nestlé; Wijnand De Wit, Dalberg Global Development Advisers; Gérard Escher, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne; Evgueni Ivantsov, European Risk Management Council; Marie-Valentine Florin, International Risk Governance Council (IRGC); Bryan Ford, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne; Thomas Gauthier, Geneva University of Applied Sciences; Ian Goldin, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford; Guillaume Grosso, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance; Jean-Marie Guéhenno, International Crisis Group (ICG); Michael Ineichen, International Service for Human Rights; Steven Kou, National University of Singapore; Quentin Ladetto, Armasuisse; Hélène Lavoix, The Red (Team) Analysis Society; Rupert Lewis, UK Government Office for Science; Mark Lutter, NeWAY Capital; Erwann Michel-Kerjan, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; Nicolas Mueller, Federal Chancellery; Tim Noonan, International Trade Union Confederation (ITUC); Yuichi Ono, Tohoku University; Felicity Oswald, Government Communications Headquarters (GCHQ); Kok Kwang Phoon, National University of Singapore; Jack Radisch, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); Jean-Marc Rickli, Geneva Centre for Security Policy; Caroline Roberts, University of Lausanne; John Scott, Zurich Insurance Group; Piet Sellke, University of Stuttgart and Insights for Impact; Atraf Shehab, Office of the Prime Minister of the United Arab Emirates; Richard Smith-Bingham, Marsh & McLennan Companies; Jörg Stenzel, Federal Ministry of Defence of Germany; Howard Stone, UPS; Michelle Tuveson, Centre for Risk Studies, University of Cambridge; Barry Vaughan, Department of the Taoiseach; Marcy Vigoda, United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA); Nick Wildgoose, Zurich Insurance Group; and Carolyn Williams, Institute of Risk Management.